@ OTT (Jan 3, 2007)@ TOR (Jan 6, 2007) ›

January 5, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT0314
BUF1102
Shots on goal PIT 27, BUF 33W M. FleuryL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .885
PIT M. Fleury .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
PIT 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
E. Malkin goal (P2 19:57), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 27%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
D. Brière
21:08
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
26:47
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.885 (23/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 24 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:57E. Malkin (19) 53% to 27%-26
  2. P2 13:39J. Staal (12) 81% to 58%-23
  3. P2 10:50C. Drury (21) 59% to 81%+22
  4. P2 07:26R. Whitney (7) 79% to 59%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
-1
2
1
0.8
17:52
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
18:15
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.1
15:01
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
15:19
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.2
21:08
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.9
20:32
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:09
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:37
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
8:55
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
5:15
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
18:48
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
18:18
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:59
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
13:50
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:19
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
14:32
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
26:47
Total
2
4
6
8
33
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller263.8850.159:19L

Team Stats

PITBUF
27Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances5
40%PP%20%
80%PK%60%
2PPG1
10Penalty Minutes10
18Hits18
11Blocked Shots13
18Giveaways17
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
14:44GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (6), assists: Toni Lydman, Thomas Vanek
2ND
07:26GOAL (PIT): Ryan Whitney (7), assists: Sidney Crosby, Sergei Gonchar
10:50GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (21), assists: Daniel Brière, Paul Gaustad
13:39GOAL (PIT): Jordan Staal (12), assists: Josef Melichar, Evgeni Malkin
19:57GOAL (PIT): Evgeni Malkin (19), assists: Ryan Whitney, Sergei Gonchar
3RD
19:47GOAL (PIT): Dominic Moore (5), assists: Jordan Staal, Colby Armstrong
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