vs TBL (Jan 13, 2007)vs BOS (Jan 17, 2007) ›

January 15, 2007

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 23 BOS

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF200002
BOS200013
Shots on goal BUF 36, BOS 37W T. ThomasL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .946
BOS T. Thomas .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
BOS 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
P. Axelsson goal (P1 19:59), Sabres win chance drops from 77% to 58%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Drury
19:37
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
25:12
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.946 (35/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:52
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:59P. Axelsson (8) 77% to 58%-19
  2. P1 05:57D. Roy (7) 40% to 59%+19
  3. P1 09:17J. Hecht (12) 58% to 76%+18
  4. P1 03:23M. Savard (17) 58% to 40%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
18:46
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
3
0.9
15:21
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
19:37
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
17:57
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
23:19
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
16:04
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:03
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
16:55
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:27
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:08
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
5
0.4
16:21
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
-0.1
6:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
20:59
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
17:00
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:47
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
25:12
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
25:10
Total
2
4
6
13
36
6.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller372.9462.065:00O

Team Stats

BUFBOS
36Shots on Goal37
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
13Penalty Minutes11
17Hits24
8Blocked Shots10
0Giveaways2
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
03:23GOAL (BOS): Marc Savard (17), assists: Zdeno Chara, Patrice Bergeron
05:57GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (7), assists: Daniel Paille, Teppo Numminen
09:17GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (12), assists: Chris Drury, Derek Roy
19:59GOAL (BOS): P.J. Axelsson (8), assists: Brad Stuart, Glen Murray
SO
00:00GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
vs TBL (Jan 13, 2007)vs BOS (Jan 17, 2007) ›