@ BOS (Jan 15, 2007)vs VAN (Jan 19, 2007) ›

January 17, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS2013
BUF3036
Shots on goal BOS 28, BUF 32W R. MillerL T. Thomas
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .893
BOS T. Thomas .839
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
BOS 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
B. Campbell goal (P3 10:05), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 90%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Paille
2 (2G)
POINTS
C. Drury
4
SHOTS
D. Brière
20:12
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:25
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 66%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:05B. Campbell (6) 57% to 90%+33
  2. P3 00:56P. Kessel (7) 85% to 59%-26
  3. P1 10:16P. Kessel (6) 64% to 45%-19
  4. P1 12:29T. Vanek (24) 45% to 64%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.4
15:54
#20 D. Paille (LW)
2
0
2
+1
2
3
1.7
19:30
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
0
0
3
1.6
20:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.7
13:30
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+3
0
0
1.3
17:01
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
22:25
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
16:50
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
16:59
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.1
18:42
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
16:11
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
19:06
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:43
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
4:30
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:38
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.3
21:56
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
22:18
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
16:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.1
20:39
Total
6
11
17
14
32
14.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller283.8930.360:00W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
28Shots on Goal32
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%33%
67%PK%80%
1PPG1
10Penalty Minutes14
14Hits17
16Blocked Shots19
23Giveaways23
3Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
10:16GOAL (BOS): Phil Kessel (6), unassisted
12:29GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (24), assists: Daniel Brière, Brian Campbell
14:05GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (1), assists: Ales Kotalik, Jaroslav Spacek
18:18GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (21), assists: Zdeno Chara, Marc Savard
19:54GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (8), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Jaroslav Spacek
3RD
00:56GOAL (BOS): Phil Kessel (7), assists: Marc Savard, Zdeno Chara
10:05GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (6), assists: Daniel Brière, Jason Pominville
14:44GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (21), assists: Jiri Novotny, Derek Roy
19:18GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (2), assists: Chris Drury
@ BOS (Jan 15, 2007)vs VAN (Jan 19, 2007) ›