@ CBJ (Jan 26, 2007)vs BOS (Jan 30, 2007) ›

January 27, 2007

Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum | Uniondale

BUF 35 NYI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1203
NYI1135
Shots on goal BUF 30, NYI 31W R. DiPietroL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 3-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .839
NYI R. DiPietro .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
NYI 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
R. Robitaille goal (P3 16:51), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 6%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
J. Hecht
20:23
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:08
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.839 (26/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:51R. Robitaille (8) 51% to 6%-45
  2. P3 06:53A. Asham (9) 84% to 52%-32
  3. P2 12:25A. Kotalik (14) 52% to 77%+25
  4. P2 03:03A. Asham (8) 53% to 30%-23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
0
2
0
2
5
1.8
20:23
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
13:14
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
14:18
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.8
18:45
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
19:35
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
4
0.7
16:23
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
-3
2
0
0.6
24:08
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.9
18:18
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:16
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
8:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
12:03
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:10
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:49
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
4:53
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
16:27
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
19:53
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
18:24
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
21:26
Total
3
6
9
10
30
8.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller315.839-1.159:11L

Team Stats

BUFNYI
30Shots on Goal31
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes8
13Hits24
22Blocked Shots6
11Giveaways8
7Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
07:42GOAL (NYI): Trent Hunter (11), unassisted
15:01GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (13), assists: Daniel Brière, Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
03:03GOAL (NYI): Arron Asham (8), assists: Richard Park, Tom Poti
05:00GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (14), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Toni Lydman
12:25GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (14), assists: Daniel Paille, Chris Drury
3RD
06:53GOAL (NYI): Arron Asham (9), assists: Allan Rourke, Shawn Bates
16:51GOAL (NYI): Randy Robitaille (8), unassisted
19:06GOAL (NYI): Andy Hilbert (6), assists: Trent Hunter, Mike Sillinger
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