@ NYI (Jan 27, 2007)@ BOS (Feb 1, 2007) ›

January 30, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 17 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS1001
BUF2417
Shots on goal BOS 26, BUF 35W M. BironL H. Toivonen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .962
BOS T. Thomas .917
BOS H. Toivonen .739
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
BOS 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P1 2:15), Sabres win chance rises from 71% to 84%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (3G)
POINTS
C. Drury
21:28
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
20:08
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 67%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:15T. Vanek (25) 71% to 84%+13
  2. P2 05:17D. Brière (19) 83% to 94%+11
  3. P1 16:44G. Murray (24) 92% to 82%-10
  4. P1 08:33C. Drury (27) 82% to 92%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
3
0
3
+3
0
5
2.8
18:02
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
3
3
+2
0
2
2.0
15:47
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+2
12
1
1.0
13:41
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.4
16:27
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+3
0
3
1.7
14:58
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.4
18:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
2
2
+3
0
2
1.9
19:28
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
21:28
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.9
13:52
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
11:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.9
18:04
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
12:56
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
12:42
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
7
3
0.2
8:04
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
17:08
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
0
0.1
18:00
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:04
Total
7
13
20
25
35
16.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron261.9621.860:00W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
26Shots on Goal35
6Power Play Chances5
17%PP%40%
60%PK%83%
1PPG2
15Penalty Minutes27
19Hits20
14Blocked Shots11
13Giveaways12
1Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
02:15GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (25), assists: Jason Pominville, Maxim Afinogenov
08:33GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (27), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Jochen Hecht
16:44GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (24), assists: Marc Savard, Zdeno Chara
2ND
05:17GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (19), assists: Brian Campbell
06:36GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (9), assists: Derek Roy, Maxim Afinogenov
15:11GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (22), assists: Toni Lydman, Derek Roy
17:24GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (20), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Thomas Vanek
3RD
12:08GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (21), assists: Toni Lydman, Jochen Hecht
@ NYI (Jan 27, 2007)@ BOS (Feb 1, 2007) ›