vs BOS (Jan 30, 2007)@ NJD (Feb 3, 2007) ›

February 1, 2007

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 31 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
BOS1001
Shots on goal BUF 28, BOS 34W M. BironL T. Thomas
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .971
BOS T. Thomas .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
BOS 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (P2 3:47), Sabres win chance rises from 37% to 60%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
22:30
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:10
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.971 (33/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 03:47C. Drury (28) 37% to 60%+23
  2. P2 09:11C. Drury (29) 61% to 81%+20
  3. P1 03:15M. Sturm (13) 62% to 44%-18
  4. P3 06:01J. Pominville (23) 86% to 97%+11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
0
2
+1
2
4
1.7
19:07
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.2
16:10
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
14:17
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.2
14:37
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
22:30
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
5
1
0.6
22:10
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
16:46
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:40
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
15:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:35
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
11:18
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
15:57
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:29
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
20:41
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:37
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
15:30
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
19:16
Total
3
6
9
17
28
7.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron341.9712.660:00W

Team Stats

BUFBOS
28Shots on Goal34
7Power Play Chances5
14%PP%0%
100%PK%86%
1PPG0
19Penalty Minutes21
15Hits17
15Blocked Shots2
9Giveaways4
3Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
03:15GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm (13), assists: Glen Murray, Marc Savard
2ND
03:47GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (28), assists: Ales Kotalik, Toni Lydman
09:11GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (29), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Daniel Brière
3RD
06:01GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (23), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
vs BOS (Jan 30, 2007)@ NJD (Feb 3, 2007) ›