vs TOR (Mar 23, 2007)vs NJD (Mar 28, 2007) ›

March 24, 2007

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 14 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
TOR1214
Shots on goal BUF 20, TOR 35W A. RaycroftL R. Miller
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .857
Buffalo T. Conklin .929
TOR A. Raycroft .950
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
TOR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Tucker goal (P2 1:45), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 32%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
3
SHOTS
D. Roy
19:35
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:18
TOI (D)
T. Conklin
.929 (13/14)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 01:45D. Tucker (24) 55% to 32%-23
  2. P1 18:57J. Hecht (17) 33% to 55%+22
  3. P2 03:34C. Colaiacovo (6) 32% to 15%-17
  4. P1 03:28D. Tucker (23) 53% to 37%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
10:03
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
8:33
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
18:40
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
19:35
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
17:59
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:29
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
16:30
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:38
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:53
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:43
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-2
4
2
-0.1
15:30
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:28
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
20:56
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
17:27
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
19:29
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:16
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
15:15
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:18
Total
1
2
3
10
20
3.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 T. Conklin141.9290.636:26
#30 R. Miller213.857-0.423:34L

Team Stats

BUFTOR
20Shots on Goal35
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes8
26Hits29
13Blocked Shots14
3Giveaways11
5Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
03:28GOAL (TOR): Darcy Tucker (23), assists: Kyle Wellwood, Bryan McCabe
18:57GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (17), assists: Clarke MacArthur, Adam Mair
2ND
01:45GOAL (TOR): Darcy Tucker (24), assists: Kyle Wellwood, Nik Antropov
03:34GOAL (TOR): Carlo Colaiacovo (6), assists: Boyd Devereaux, Matt Stajan
3RD
05:04GOAL (TOR): Nik Antropov (17), assists: Bryan McCabe, Alexei Ponikarovsky
vs TOR (Mar 23, 2007)vs NJD (Mar 28, 2007) ›