vs BOS (Apr 5, 2007)@ PHI (Apr 8, 2007) ›

April 7, 2007

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 20 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2002
WSH0000
Shots on goal BUF 24, WSH 26W R. MillerL O. Kolzig
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
WSH O. Kolzig .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
WSH 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P1 1:36), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 76%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
4
SHOTS
D. Zubrus
18:25
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
21:33
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (26/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:36D. Roy (20) 59% to 76%+17
  2. P1 09:51T. Connolly (1) 76% to 89%+13
  3. P3 05:48Spearing on Daniel Brière, 5 min 97% to 93%-4
  4. P3 05:48Roughing on Jason Pominville, 2 min 93% to 91%-2

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.2
16:36
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
13:06
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
4
0
0.4
12:04
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
15:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
21:33
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
11:54
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:25
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
10:12
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
15:36
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.3
13:52
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
15
3
0.1
11:38
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:40
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
21:10
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
14:17
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
20:01
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
21:05
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:14
Total
2
3
5
23
24
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller2601.0002.659:54W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
24Shots on Goal26
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
25Penalty Minutes10
8Hits20
23Blocked Shots14
5Giveaways8
5Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
01:36GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (20), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Henrik Tallinder
09:51GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Daniel Paille
vs BOS (Apr 5, 2007)@ PHI (Apr 8, 2007) ›