@ WSH (Apr 7, 2007)

April 8, 2007

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 34 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1203
PHI1124
Shots on goal BUF 30, PHI 33W M. BironL T. Conklin
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo T. Conklin .879
PHI M. Biron .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
PHI 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Richards goal (P3 8:45), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 21%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
J. Hecht
17:16
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
20:04
TOI (D)
T. Conklin
.879 (29/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 66%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:45M. Richards (10) 55% to 21%-34
  2. P2 15:32J. Pominville (34) 33% to 61%+28
  3. P3 03:42M. Knuble (24) 86% to 59%-27
  4. P2 19:49D. Roy (21) 60% to 85%+25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.6
15:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.3
17:15
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
15:59
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
2
0.9
15:37
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
17:00
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
18:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.7
20:04
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
14:50
#15 D. Zubrus (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
14:36
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
13:07
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
11:27
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
16:29
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
17:16
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:18
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
19:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
18:51
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
18:14
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
19:42
Total
3
6
9
6
30
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 T. Conklin334.879-0.158:58L

Team Stats

BUFPHI
30Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
9Hits12
12Blocked Shots10
9Giveaways18
6Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
10:21GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (43), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Maxim Afinogenov
11:15GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (41), assists: Mike Knuble, Derian Hatcher
2ND
02:04GOAL (PHI): Stefan Ruzicka (3), assists: Braydon Coburn, Scottie Upshall
15:32GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (34), assists: Chris Drury, Dmitri Kalinin
19:49GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (21), assists: Thomas Vanek, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
03:42GOAL (PHI): Mike Knuble (24), assists: Simon Gagne
08:45GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (10), assists: Mike Knuble, Randy Jones
@ WSH (Apr 7, 2007)