@ BOS (Nov 10, 2007)vs MTL (Nov 16, 2007) ›

November 15, 2007

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 23 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
OTT2103
Shots on goal BUF 37, OTT 34W M. GerberL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .912
OTT M. Gerber .946
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
OTT 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
D. Alfredsson goal (P1 18:53), Sabres win chance drops from 38% to 21%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:55
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
27:06
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.912 (31/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 38%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:53D. Alfredsson (15) 38% to 21%-17
  2. P1 07:30J. Hecht (5) 22% to 39%+17
  3. P1 06:32D. Alfredsson (14) 39% to 22%-17
  4. P2 16:48S. Donovan (3) 17% to 5%-12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
2
5
1.4
21:55
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
12:15
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
21:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
18:24
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
10:21
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
12:01
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:35
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.2
18:49
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.2
17:23
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
6:56
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
17:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
12:25
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
1:54
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
18:53
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
23:19
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
20:00
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
12:13
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
27:06
Total
2
3
5
14
37
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller343.9120.959:13L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
37Shots on Goal34
7Power Play Chances7
14%PP%14%
86%PK%86%
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes14
22Hits25
13Blocked Shots9
10Giveaways12
14Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
06:32GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (14), assists: Mike Fisher, Dany Heatley
07:30GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (5), assists: Nolan Pratt
18:53GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (15), assists: Wade Redden, Dany Heatley
2ND
16:48GOAL (OTT): Shean Donovan (3), assists: Mike Fisher, Christoph Schubert
3RD
11:27GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (6), assists: Jason Pominville, Ales Kotalik
@ BOS (Nov 10, 2007)vs MTL (Nov 16, 2007) ›