vs TOR (Nov 9, 2007)@ OTT (Nov 15, 2007) ›

November 10, 2007

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 12 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
BOS0112
Shots on goal BUF 46, BOS 22W T. ThomasL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .909
BOS T. Thomas .978
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
BOS 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Paille goal (P3 8:13), Sabres win chance rises from 12% to 43%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Paille
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:43
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
26:15
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+27+140-14-27shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:13D. Paille (3) 12% to 43%+31
  2. P3 08:45C. Kobasew (7) 44% to 14%-30
  3. P2 18:16M. Sturm (7) 45% to 19%-26
  4. P2 17:39Too many men on the ice on Unknown, 2 min 50% to 45%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.1
14:57
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
18:32
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:03
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
18:43
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:21
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
16:32
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:22
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
6
10
0.6
18:49
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
10:22
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
11:50
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
20:43
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
14:53
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:04
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
24:08
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.4
18:02
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
13:49
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:14
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
26:15
Total
1
2
3
10
46
5.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller222.9090.559:31L

Team Stats

BUFBOS
46Shots on Goal22
6Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes12
10Hits11
5Blocked Shots11
5Giveaways7
7Takeaways3

Full Game Log

2ND
18:16GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm (7), assists: Marc Savard
3RD
08:13GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (3), assists: Toni Lydman, Paul Gaustad
08:45GOAL (BOS): Chuck Kobasew (7), assists: Zdeno Chara, Dennis Wideman
vs TOR (Nov 9, 2007)@ OTT (Nov 15, 2007) ›