vs MTL (Nov 23, 2007)@ WSH (Nov 26, 2007) ›

November 24, 2007

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 30 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
MTL0000
Shots on goal BUF 35, MTL 24W J. ThibaultL C. Huet
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo J. Thibault 1.000
MTL C. Huet .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
MTL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Spacek goal (P2 9:38), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 70%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Spacek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
7
SHOTS
D. Roy
17:48
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
27:49
TOI (D)
J. Thibault
1.000 (24/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:38J. Spacek (5) 49% to 70%+21
  2. P2 13:54T. Vanek (6) 72% to 89%+17
  3. P2 09:29Hooking on Tom Kostopoulos, 2 min 45% to 49%+4
  4. P2 00:40Hooking on Tomas Plekanec, 2 min 45% to 48%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
2.1
25:25
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
15:53
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
1.0
15:25
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:08
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
7
1.4
17:34
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
1.1
27:49
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:49
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
15:35
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:53
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:33
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
14:27
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:33
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
13:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
23:35
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:11
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
10:55
Total
3
5
8
6
35
9.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 J. Thibault2401.0002.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
35Shots on Goal24
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
6Penalty Minutes8
23Hits36
22Blocked Shots22
12Giveaways8
4Takeaways8

Full Game Log

2ND
09:38GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (5), assists: Ales Kotalik, Brian Campbell
13:54GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (6), assists: Michael Ryan, Derek Roy
3RD
19:33GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (6), assists: Jaroslav Spacek
vs MTL (Nov 23, 2007)@ WSH (Nov 26, 2007) ›