@ MTL (Nov 24, 2007)vs STL (Nov 28, 2007) ›

November 26, 2007

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 31 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1203
WSH0101
Shots on goal BUF 28, WSH 31W R. MillerL O. Kolzig
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .968
WSH O. Kolzig .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
WSH 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P2 8:07), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 75%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Paille
4
SHOTS
J. Pominville
20:10
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
21:47
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.968 (30/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 08:07J. Hecht (8) 51% to 75%+24
  2. P2 00:49A. Ovechkin (17) 73% to 51%-22
  3. P1 10:55J. Hecht (7) 51% to 71%+20
  4. P2 11:47J. Pominville (6) 76% to 91%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P2 0:49
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
3
2.6
18:42
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+3
0
4
1.0
17:34
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
20:10
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
21:44
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
21:02
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
17:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:54
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:23
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:20
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:21
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
10:27
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.0
15:15
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.1
3:55
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:18
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
21:38
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:30
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.2
21:47
Total
3
4
7
11
28
7.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller311.9682.360:00W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
28Shots on Goal31
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
11Penalty Minutes11
10Hits15
11Blocked Shots8
7Giveaways13
7Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
10:55GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (7), assists: Brian Campbell, Jaroslav Spacek
2ND
00:49GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (17), assists: Steve Eminger
08:07GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (8), assists: Daniel Paille
11:47GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (6), assists: Jochen Hecht
@ MTL (Nov 24, 2007)vs STL (Nov 28, 2007) ›