vs CAR (Dec 1, 2007)@ LAK (Dec 6, 2007) ›

December 5, 2007

Honda Center | Anaheim

BUF 14 ANA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ANA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
ANA1214
Shots on goal BUF 23, ANA 33W J. GiguereL R. Miller
Summary

ANA had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .879
ANA J. Giguere .957
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
ANA 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Schneider goal (P2 12:22), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 27%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Spacek
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
19:46
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
23:43
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.879 (29/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFANA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFANA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFANA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 12:22M. Schneider (3) 49% to 27%-22
  2. P1 15:33A. McDonald (4) 73% to 53%-20
  3. P1 04:07J. Hecht (9) 54% to 72%+18
  4. P2 18:20T. Bertuzzi (2) 24% to 8%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:41
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:23
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:46
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
15:17
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
10:10
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:50
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:27
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:14
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
5
1
0.1
16:35
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:24
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
10
0
0.0
5:39
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
14:21
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:38
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
4
0.1
21:13
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:38
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:30
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
23:43
Total
1
2
3
23
23
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller334.879-0.159:54L

Team Stats

BUFANA
23Shots on Goal33
4Power Play Chances3
0%PP%67%
33%PK%100%
0PPG2
23Penalty Minutes35
16Hits15
10Blocked Shots6
10Giveaways6
7Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
04:07GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (9), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
15:33GOAL (ANA): Andy McDonald (4), assists: Kent Huskins, Joe Dipenta
2ND
12:22GOAL (ANA): Mathieu Schneider (3), assists: Chris Pronger, Ryan Getzlaf
18:20GOAL (ANA): Todd Bertuzzi (2), assists: Andy McDonald
3RD
11:03GOAL (ANA): Corey Perry (14), assists: Francois Beauchemin, Mathieu Schneider
vs CAR (Dec 1, 2007)@ LAK (Dec 6, 2007) ›