@ LAK (Dec 6, 2007)vs BOS (Dec 10, 2007) ›

December 8, 2007

HP Pavilion at San Jose | San Jose

BUF 71 SJS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs SJS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0437
SJS1001
Shots on goal BUF 34, SJS 22W R. MillerL E. Nabokov
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .955
SJS E. Nabokov .840
SJS D. Patzold .667
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
SJS 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P2 7:33), Sabres win chance rises from 42% to 67%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
24:39
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
25:24
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSJS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFSJS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSJS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 07:33T. Connolly (4) 42% to 67%+25
  2. P2 04:06A. Kotalik (8) 23% to 44%+21
  3. P1 14:01S. Ozolinsh (2) 44% to 24%-20
  4. P2 12:26M. Ryan (2) 71% to 89%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+3
0
1
1.7
24:39
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.5
19:33
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
2
0
2
+2
2
7
2.1
20:01
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
2
2
+2
4
0
0.8
20:58
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
+3
0
4
1.7
25:24
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
4
3
0.7
12:47
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
11:29
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
6:36
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:15
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
18:40
#37 M. Ryan (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
9:26
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
14:02
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
13:50
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
13:36
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:56
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
1:50
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+3
2
1
0.3
21:18
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
22:40
Total
7
12
19
14
34
15.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller221.9551.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFSJS
34Shots on Goal22
4Power Play Chances6
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
2PPG0
14Penalty Minutes10
11Hits21
10Blocked Shots9
6Giveaways16
6Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
14:01GOAL (SJS): Sandis Ozolinsh (2), assists: Joe Pavelski, Patrick Marleau
2ND
04:06GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (8), assists: Derek Roy, Toni Lydman
07:33GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (4), unassisted
12:26GOAL (BUF): Michael Ryan (2), assists: Adam Mair, Toni Lydman
17:14GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (5), assists: Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly
3RD
12:32GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (10), assists: Drew Stafford, Brian Campbell
16:03GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (6), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Nolan Pratt
17:43GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (9), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Jason Pominville
@ LAK (Dec 6, 2007)vs BOS (Dec 10, 2007) ›