vs PHI (Dec 21, 2007)vs OTT (Dec 26, 2007) ›

December 22, 2007

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 65 PHI

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF131016
PHI131005
Shots on goal BUF 28, PHI 36W R. MillerL M. Biron
Summary

PHI had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-5 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .861
PHI M. Biron .821
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 8
PHI 2 of 8
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P3 19:52), Sabres win chance rises from 0% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
J. Pominville
24:35
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
29:32
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.861 (31/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:59
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:52T. Vanek (11) 0% to 49%+49
  2. P2 19:33M. Richards (18) 74% to 46%-28
  3. P2 15:26J. Spacek (8) 52% to 78%+26
  4. P3 03:51K. Timonen (4) 44% to 18%-26

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
3
4
+1
0
1
2.7
24:35
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
5
1.8
16:33
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
4
2
1.4
18:48
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
-1
2
1
1.4
17:35
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
1.1
14:02
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
14:55
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+2
2
3
1.0
22:57
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
0
1
-1
2
2
0.8
26:35
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
0
5
1
0.7
11:58
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.5
23:55
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
10:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
9:52
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:48
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
1:33
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
23:21
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.6
21:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
14:09
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
29:32
Total
5
10
15
30
28
13.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller365.861-0.664:18W

Team Stats

BUFPHI
28Shots on Goal36
8Power Play Chances8
25%PP%25%
75%PK%75%
2PPG2
30Penalty Minutes30
17Hits16
21Blocked Shots14
14Giveaways13
9Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
02:18GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (7), assists: Jason Pominville, Nathan Paetsch
16:40GOAL (PHI): Jeff Carter (11), assists: R.J. Umberger
2ND
03:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (11), assists: Paul Gaustad, Maxim Afinogenov
07:54GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (9), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Paille
12:08GOAL (PHI): Jeff Carter (12), assists: Daniel Brière, Derian Hatcher
13:03GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (17), assists: R.J. Umberger
15:26GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (8), assists: Ales Kotalik, Jason Pominville
19:33GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (18), assists: Kimmo Timonen, Joffrey Lupul
3RD
03:51GOAL (PHI): Kimmo Timonen (4), assists: Mike Richards, Joffrey Lupul
19:52GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (11), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Martin Biron(SO)
vs PHI (Dec 21, 2007)vs OTT (Dec 26, 2007) ›