vs OTT (Jan 4, 2008)@ NJD (Jan 8, 2008) ›

January 6, 2008

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 25 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
ATL1135
Shots on goal BUF 39, ATL 30W J. HedbergL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .862
ATL J. Hedberg .949
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
ATL 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
P. Dupuis goal (P2 6:45), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 29%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
T. Connolly
22:36
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
26:10
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.862 (25/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 24 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:45P. Dupuis (8) 52% to 29%-23
  2. P1 09:20M. Hossa (15) 72% to 53%-19
  3. P1 06:10T. Vanek (12) 53% to 71%+18
  4. P3 01:37C. Stuart (2) 21% to 6%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
20:55
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
5
1.1
19:17
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.0
19:42
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
15:14
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
20:47
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.1
25:06
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
9:22
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
22:36
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
15:17
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
6:35
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
22:07
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
9:31
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:35
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
16:19
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
26:10
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
14:50
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:47
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:24
Total
2
4
6
2
39
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller294.862-0.558:26L

Team Stats

BUFATL
39Shots on Goal30
5Power Play Chances1
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
2Penalty Minutes10
14Hits18
7Blocked Shots11
9Giveaways12
7Takeaways21

Full Game Log

1ST
06:10GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (12), assists: Brian Campbell, Ales Kotalik
09:20GOAL (ATL): Marian Hossa (15), unassisted
2ND
06:45GOAL (ATL): Pascal Dupuis (8), unassisted
3RD
01:37GOAL (ATL): Colin Stuart (2), unassisted
05:14GOAL (ATL): Marian Hossa (16), assists: Eric Perrin, Colin Stuart
09:34GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (4), assists: Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht
19:45GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (34), assists: Todd White
vs OTT (Jan 4, 2008)@ NJD (Jan 8, 2008) ›