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January 8, 2008

Prudential Center | Newark

BUF 12 NJD

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF001001
NJD100012
Shots on goal BUF 24, NJD 30W M. BrodeurL R. Miller
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .967
NJD M. Brodeur .958
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
NJD 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P3 18:13), Sabres win chance rises from 3% to 49%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
22:38
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
28:55
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.967 (29/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 5:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:13J. Pominville (10) 3% to 49%+46
  2. P1 16:23A. Greene (2) 46% to 27%-19
  3. P1 14:50Interference on Toni Lydman, 2 min 47% to 43%-4
  4. P1 04:49Hooking on Mike Mottau, 2 min 47% to 50%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
21:29
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.2
18:02
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
22:38
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
15:55
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:58
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:20
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
16:12
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:50
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
7:32
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:39
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:45
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
10:57
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
23:56
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
28:55
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
23:59
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:22
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
27:06
Total
1
2
3
6
24
3.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller301.9672.264:55O

Team Stats

BUFNJD
24Shots on Goal30
1Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
6Penalty Minutes2
3Hits7
8Blocked Shots13
8Giveaways1
6Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
16:23GOAL (NJD): Andy Greene (2), assists: Patrik Elias, Mike Mottau
3RD
18:13GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (10), assists: Clarke MacArthur, Jochen Hecht
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Martin Brodeur(SO)
00:00GOAL (NJD): Brian Gionta, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
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