@ NYR (Jan 16, 2008)@ TOR (Jan 19, 2008) ›

January 18, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 110 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ATL1001
BUF43310
Shots on goal ATL 24, BUF 49W R. MillerL J. Hedberg
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 10-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .958
ATL J. Hedberg .750
ATL K. Lehtonen .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 9
ATL 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Paille goal (P1 1:54), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 75%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
5 (3G-2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
9
SHOTS
J. Pominville
19:11
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
24:25
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.958 (23/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+25+130-13-25shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:54D. Paille (9) 58% to 75%+17
  2. P1 05:14D. Stafford (9) 77% to 88%+11
  3. P1 05:37D. Roy (14) 88% to 95%+7
  4. P1 09:07D. Roy (15) 95% to 98%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
3
2
5
+3
2
6
4.0
14:19
#9 D. Roy (C)
3
1
4
+4
2
9
3.5
17:57
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
2
3
+3
2
4
2.0
16:01
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
2
3
+1
4
2
2.2
15:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
3
3
+4
0
4
2.2
24:25
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.8
13:37
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.6
14:02
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
0
2
5
2.4
19:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
4
1.5
22:07
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
18:09
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.2
13:12
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
2
0.8
17:33
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.9
18:27
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:24
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
11:28
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
10:50
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
+2
5
0
0.3
10:31
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
13:51
Total
10
20
30
21
49
25.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller241.9581.660:00W

Team Stats

ATLBUF
24Shots on Goal49
6Power Play Chances9
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG3
70Penalty Minutes21
17Hits21
9Blocked Shots8
7Giveaways8
5Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
01:54GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (9), assists: Ales Kotalik, Paul Gaustad
05:14GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (9), assists: Jason Pominville, Brian Campbell
05:37GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (14), assists: Drew Stafford, Thomas Vanek
09:07GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (15), assists: Drew Stafford, Thomas Vanek
10:08GOAL (ATL): Colin Stuart (3), unassisted
2ND
05:30GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (15), assists: Jason Pominville, Henrik Tallinder
14:41GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (16), assists: Daniel Paille, Dmitri Kalinin
19:15GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (13), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Jochen Hecht
3RD
07:53GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (10), assists: Michael Ryan, Dmitri Kalinin
11:38GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (11), assists: Toni Lydman, Derek Roy
17:42GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (14), assists: Brian Campbell, Jochen Hecht
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