vs FLA (Feb 10, 2008)vs TOR (Feb 13, 2008) ›

February 12, 2008

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 51 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0145
OTT0011
Shots on goal BUF 39, OTT 26W R. MillerL R. Emery
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .962
OTT R. Emery .872
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
OTT 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 3:44), Sabres win chance rises from 45% to 68%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
3 (3G)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:27
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
25:08
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 24 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+19+100-10-19shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 03:44T. Vanek (18) 45% to 68%+23
  2. P3 04:30C. MacArthur (7) 79% to 95%+16
  3. P3 00:26T. Vanek (19) 77% to 93%+16
  4. P3 03:57R. Robitaille (9) 92% to 79%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
3
0
3
+1
0
3
2.6
16:15
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.4
17:35
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
6
1.7
17:22
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.4
11:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
4
1.7
17:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
25:08
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
22:27
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
14:27
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:44
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
5:16
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
16:42
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
5:38
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
9:31
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.2
20:25
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.3
22:52
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
20:37
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
14:36
Total
5
10
15
14
39
13.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller261.9621.859:57W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
39Shots on Goal26
5Power Play Chances6
40%PP%17%
83%PK%60%
2PPG1
14Penalty Minutes12
19Hits23
10Blocked Shots10
7Giveaways12
8Takeaways9

Full Game Log

2ND
03:44GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (18), assists: Brian Campbell, Derek Roy
3RD
00:26GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (19), assists: Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly
03:57GOAL (OTT): Randy Robitaille (9), assists: Andrej Meszaros, Cory Stillman
04:30GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (7), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
16:02GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (20), assists: Tim Connolly, Ales Kotalik
16:56GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (16), assists: Jochen Hecht, Clarke MacArthur
vs FLA (Feb 10, 2008)vs TOR (Feb 13, 2008) ›