@ OTT (Feb 12, 2008)@ NYR (Feb 16, 2008) ›

February 13, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 01 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0000
BUF0011
Shots on goal TOR 35, BUF 20W R. MillerL V. Toskala
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 1-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
TOR V. Toskala .950
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
TOR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad goal (P3 8:56), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 88%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
19:34
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:44
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (35/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:56P. Gaustad (8) 55% to 88%+33
  2. P3 05:59Hooking on Jiri Tlusty, 2 min 56% to 62%+6
  3. P3 17:23Tripping on Brian Campbell, 2 min 96% to 91%-5
  4. P3 01:55Tripping on Toni Lydman, 2 min 57% to 52%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
13:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
16:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
23:29
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:33
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:20
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
16:00
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
9:14
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:45
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:13
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:29
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:37
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
19:34
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:05
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.1
23:44
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:21
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
16:18
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
20:49
Total
1
2
3
6
20
4.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller3501.0003.559:47W

Team Stats

TORBUF
35Shots on Goal20
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes6
10Hits20
4Blocked Shots13
6Giveaways9
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

3RD
08:56GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (8), assists: Daniel Paille, Henrik Tallinder
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