vs PIT (Feb 17, 2008)@ TOR (Feb 21, 2008) ›

February 20, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 34 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL10203
BUF00314
Shots on goal TBL 25, BUF 46W R. MillerL J. Holmqvist
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .880
TBL J. Holmqvist .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
TBL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P3 18:15), Sabres win chance rises from 4% to 53%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
3 (3G)
POINTS
J. Pominville
24:03
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:39
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.880 (22/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 8 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 2:25
+21+110-11-21shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

OT 2:25
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:15T. Vanek (24) 4% to 53%+49
  2. OT 02:25T. Vanek (25) 56% to 100%+44
  3. P1 04:02C. Gratton (10) 59% to 40%-19
  4. P3 01:03B. Richards (18) 25% to 8%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
3
3
+2
0
6
2.7
22:16
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
3
0
3
+1
0
5
2.6
23:20
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.8
22:40
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.6
22:39
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
0.9
24:03
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
20:44
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
15:55
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:09
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
6:09
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
15:28
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
4:01
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:18
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
22:52
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:59
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:01
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:38
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
22:23
Total
4
8
12
4
46
12.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller253.8800.061:41W

Team Stats

TBLBUF
25Shots on Goal46
2Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes4
13Hits21
18Blocked Shots10
9Giveaways9
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
04:02GOAL (TBL): Chris Gratton (10), assists: Filip Kuba, Craig MacDonald
3RD
01:03GOAL (TBL): Brad Richards (18), assists: Jan Hlavac
03:03GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (22), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Tim Connolly
13:12GOAL (TBL): Vinny Prospal (28), assists: Dan Boyle, Vincent Lecavalier
17:39GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (23), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
18:15GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (24), assists: Tim Connolly, Derek Roy
OT
02:25GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (25), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Jason Pominville
vs PIT (Feb 17, 2008)@ TOR (Feb 21, 2008) ›