vs TBL (Feb 20, 2008)vs NYR (Feb 23, 2008) ›

February 21, 2008

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 51 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1315
TOR0101
Shots on goal BUF 23, TOR 35W R. MillerL V. Toskala
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .971
TOR V. Toskala .818
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
TOR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
B. Campbell goal (P1 2:36), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 71%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Pominville
22:16
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
26:20
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.971 (34/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:36B. Campbell (5) 53% to 71%+18
  2. P2 08:59A. Kotalik (15) 76% to 91%+15
  3. P2 02:48P. Kubina (5) 88% to 74%-14
  4. P2 00:59T. Vanek (26) 75% to 89%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
2
3
+1
0
3
2.6
16:19
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
2
0
2
+2
0
3
1.8
15:47
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
0
1.5
26:20
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
25:31
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.9
22:13
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
12:43
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
17:23
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
22:16
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.7
22:19
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:10
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
3:10
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:40
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.4
17:13
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.1
18:15
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
12:05
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
19:44
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
1:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:57
Total
5
9
14
12
23
12.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller351.9712.760:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
23Shots on Goal35
5Power Play Chances5
40%PP%20%
80%PK%60%
2PPG1
12Penalty Minutes12
17Hits16
20Blocked Shots6
19Giveaways14
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
02:36GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (5), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Adam Mair
2ND
00:59GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (26), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Brian Campbell
02:48GOAL (TOR): Pavel Kubina (5), assists: Tomas Kaberle, Vesa Toskala
08:59GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (15), assists: Thomas Vanek, Toni Lydman
14:49GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (23), assists: Thomas Vanek, Jason Pominville
3RD
19:07GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (16), assists: Paul Gaustad
vs TBL (Feb 20, 2008)vs NYR (Feb 23, 2008) ›