@ TOR (Feb 21, 2008)vs PHI (Feb 25, 2008) ›

February 23, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 43 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR2114
BUF1203
Shots on goal NYR 35, BUF 29W H. LundqvistL R. Miller
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .886
NYR H. Lundqvist .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NYR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
S. Avery goal (P3 14:55), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 9%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:35
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
25:16
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.886 (31/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:55S. Avery (10) 52% to 9%-43
  2. P2 10:45B. Dubinsky (12) 78% to 54%-24
  3. P2 10:11A. Kotalik (18) 54% to 78%+24
  4. P2 04:05J. Pominville (17) 31% to 55%+24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.8
21:35
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
3
1.7
18:17
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
20:22
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
19:03
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
21:21
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
20:14
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
18:39
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
15:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:17
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:21
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.2
3:52
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:20
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
4:19
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:27
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
23:58
#17 M. Gragnani (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.3
6:28
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:01
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
25:16
Total
3
6
9
11
29
8.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller354.8860.158:47L

Team Stats

NYRBUF
35Shots on Goal29
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes11
27Hits23
12Blocked Shots8
1Giveaways9
2Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
06:10GOAL (NYR): Jaromir Jagr (16), assists: Fedor Tyutin, Brandon Dubinsky
08:48GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (17), assists: Derek Roy, Henrik Tallinder
09:49GOAL (NYR): Nigel Dawes (9), assists: Chris Drury, Michal Rozsival
2ND
04:05GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (17), assists: Toni Lydman, Tim Connolly
10:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (18), assists: Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek
10:45GOAL (NYR): Brandon Dubinsky (12), assists: Michal Rozsival, Sean Avery
3RD
14:55GOAL (NYR): Sean Avery (10), assists: Brendan Shanahan
@ TOR (Feb 21, 2008)vs PHI (Feb 25, 2008) ›