vs HFD (Mar 5, 1993)@ QUE (Mar 10, 1993) ›

March 7, 1993

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

WIN 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WIN1001
BUF1102
Shots on goal WIN 23, BUF 41W G. FuhrL R. Tabaracci
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Fuhr .957
WIN R. Tabaracci .951
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
WIN 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Mogilny goal (P2 0:57), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 76%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mogilny
2 (2G)
POINTS
G. Fuhr
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:57A. Mogilny (65) 58% to 76%+18
  2. P3 11:19Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 87% to 71%-16
  3. P1 17:12S. Barnes (10) 74% to 58%-16
  4. P3 11:19Fighting on Tie Domi, 5 min 71% to 87%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1992–93 regular season (84 games).

Wins (38)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 70% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 75% when yes, 29% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 71% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 64% when yes, 25% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
5
1.8
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
9
2.2
#10 D. Hawerchuk (C)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.5
#27 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 C. Patterson (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#19 R. Wood (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#3 G. Ledyard (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#5 M. Ramsey (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#15 G. Brown (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#41 K. Sutton (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
2
4
6
13
41
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 G. Fuhr231.9571.560:00W

Team Stats

WINBUF
23Shots on Goal41
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%20%
80%PK%67%
1PPG1
17Penalty Minutes13

Full Game Log

1ST
05:10GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (64), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Dale Hawerchuk
17:12GOAL (WIN): Stu Barnes (10), assists: Fredrik Olausson, Darrin Shannon
2ND
00:57GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (65), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Brad May
vs HFD (Mar 5, 1993)@ QUE (Mar 10, 1993) ›