‹ vs NYI (Feb 22, 1995)vs NYR (Feb 26, 1995) ›

February 25, 1995

Hartford Civic Center | Hartford

BUF 3 – 1 HFD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs HFD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
HFD0101
Shots on goal BUF 28, HFD 29W D. HasekL S. Burke
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .966
HFD S. Burke .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 4
HFD 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
A. Mogilny goal (P1 19:30), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 68%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mogilny
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.966 (28/29)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFHFD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:30A. Mogilny (5) 50% to 68%+18
  2. P2 15:51R. Kron (7) 89% to 74%-15
  3. P2 06:43D. Audette (6) 72% to 87%+15
  4. P3 13:56A. Mogilny (6) 91% to 99%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
2
1
3
0
2
6
2.5
#10 D. Hawerchuk (C)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.1
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
2
2
0
9
3
1.2
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#33 M. Astley (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 C. Simpson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 D. Melanson (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#7 P. Svoboda (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
Total
3
6
9
17
28
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek291–.966–2.160:00W

Team Stats

BUFHFD
28Shots on Goal29
4Power Play Chances4
75%PP%25%
75%PK%25%
3PPG1
17Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST
19:30GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (5), assists: Doug Bodger, Dale Hawerchuk
2ND
06:43GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (6), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Dale Hawerchuk
15:51GOAL (HFD): Robert Kron (7), assists: Geoff Sanderson, Chris Pronger
3RD
13:56GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (6), assists: Doug Bodger, Mark Astley
‹ vs NYI (Feb 22, 1995)vs NYR (Feb 26, 1995) ›