vs PIT (Mar 21, 1995)@ PHI (Mar 26, 1995) ›

March 24, 1995

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

FLA 03 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA0000
BUF1203
Shots on goal FLA 28, BUF 22W D. HasekL J. Vanbiesbrouck
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek 1.000
FLA J. Vanbiesbrouck .864
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
FLA 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
P. LaFontaine goal (P1 14:42), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 73%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Smehlik
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
1.000 (28/28)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:42P. LaFontaine (3) 56% to 73%+17
  2. P2 02:32D. Hannan (3) 68% to 84%+16
  3. P2 02:00High sticking double minor on Pat LaFontaine, 4 min 74% to 67%-7
  4. P2 15:48A. Mogilny (12) 93% to 98%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.5
#12 P. Ambroziak (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#14 D. Hannan (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
1
0
1
+1
4
2
0.8
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
5
1.0
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.6
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
17
0
-0.4
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#7 P. Svoboda (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#41 K. Sutton (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
3
4
7
25
22
5.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek2801.0002.860:00W

Team Stats

FLABUF
28Shots on Goal22
6Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes25

Full Game Log

1ST
14:42GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (3), assists: Richard Smehlik, Doug Bodger
2ND
02:32GOAL (BUF): Dave Hannan (3), unassisted
15:48GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (12), assists: Richard Smehlik, Peter Ambroziak
vs PIT (Mar 21, 1995)@ PHI (Mar 26, 1995) ›