vs NYR (Dec 15, 1995)vs MTL (Dec 20, 1995) ›

December 16, 1995

Brendan Byrne Arena | East Rutherford

BUF 32 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1023
NJD0202
Shots on goal BUF 23, NJD 41W A. TrefilovL M. Brodeur
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Trefilov .951
NJD M. Brodeur .870
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 8
NJD 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Ward goal (P3 12:23), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 86%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Galley
2 (2A)
POINTS
G. Galley
4
SHOTS
A. Trefilov
.951 (39/41)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:23D. Ward (2) 48% to 86%+38
  2. P3 04:52B. May (6) 18% to 47%+29
  3. P2 16:16J. MacLean (12) 73% to 47%-26
  4. P2 17:42P. Sykora (10) 47% to 21%-26

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.7
#10 B. May (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#41 D. Hannan (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
0
15
0
-0.3
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#24 D. Jackson (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
9
1
-0.4
#4 G. Jennings (D)
0
0
0
0
15
0
-0.3
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
Total
3
4
7
52
23
4.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 A. Trefilov412.9512.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFNJD
23Shots on Goal41
8Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
52Penalty Minutes52

Full Game Log

1ST
19:41GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (4), assists: Pat LaFontaine
2ND
16:16GOAL (NJD): John MacLean (12), assists: Scott Niedermayer
17:42GOAL (NJD): Petr Sykora (10), assists: Steve Thomas, Bill Guerin
3RD
04:52GOAL (BUF): Brad May (6), assists: Garry Galley, Dave Hannan
12:23GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (2), assists: Garry Galley
vs NYR (Dec 15, 1995)vs MTL (Dec 20, 1995) ›