vs LAK (Feb 14, 1996)@ HFD (Feb 17, 1996) ›

February 16, 1996

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

NJD 22 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD2002
BUF2002
Shots on goal NJD 41, BUF 29
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Trefilov .951
NJD M. Brodeur .931
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
NJD 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Ray goal (P1 14:16), Sabres win chance rises from 30% to 49%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Plante
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Plante
4
SHOTS
A. Trefilov
.951 (39/41)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:16R. Ray (3) 30% to 49%+19
  2. P1 07:19B. Rolston (6) 49% to 31%-18
  3. P1 01:44D. Plante (15) 49% to 66%+17
  4. P3 10:55Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 50% to 33%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#26 D. Plante (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
1
0
1
+1
5
3
0.8
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#41 D. Hannan (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.5
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
-1
14
3
-0.2
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#33 S. Pearson (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#4 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
7
1
-0.2
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#29 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
Total
2
4
6
34
29
4.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 A. Trefilov412.9512.465:00T

Team Stats

NJDBUF
41Shots on Goal29
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
1PPG0
51Penalty Minutes34

Full Game Log

1ST
01:44GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (15), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Alexei Zhitnik
04:29GOAL (NJD): Bill Guerin (17), assists: Steve Thomas, Petr Sykora
07:19GOAL (NJD): Brian Rolston (6), assists: John MacLean, Neal Broten
14:16GOAL (BUF): Rob Ray (3), assists: Mark Astley, Dave Hannan
vs LAK (Feb 14, 1996)@ HFD (Feb 17, 1996) ›