‹ vs WSH (Apr 3, 1996)@ NYI (Apr 6, 1996) ›

April 5, 1996

Thunderdome | St. Petersburg

BUF 4 – 3 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
TBL0123
Shots on goal BUF 22, TBL 43W A. TrefilovL D. Puppa
Summary

TBL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Trefilov .930
TBL D. Puppa .818
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
TBL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Astley goal (P1 19:08), Sabres win chance rises from 46% to 66%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. LaFontaine
3 (3A)
POINTS
D. Plante
4
SHOTS
A. Trefilov
.930 (40/43)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:08M. Astley (2) 46% to 66%+20
  2. P2 06:35D. Plante (21) 69% to 85%+16
  3. P3 12:47M. Andersson (8) 98% to 87%-11
  4. P2 10:14B. Holzinger (10) 88% to 96%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
3
3
+1
0
0
1.8
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
#26 D. Plante (C)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.8
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
+1
9
2
0.4
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#21 M. Astley (D)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#24 D. Jackson (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#33 S. Pearson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#37 B. Moore (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#4 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
Total
4
6
10
19
22
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#30 A. Trefilov433–.930–1.860:00W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
22Shots on Goal43
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%25%
75%PK%80%
1PPG1
19Penalty Minutes19

Full Game Log

1ST
19:08GOAL (BUF): Mark Astley (2), assists: Pat LaFontaine
2ND
06:35GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (21), assists: Brad May
10:14GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (10), assists: Derek Plante, Pat LaFontaine
18:34GOAL (TBL): Brian Bellows (21), assists: Michel Petit, Roman Hamrlik
3RD
00:37GOAL (BUF): Randy Burridge (24), assists: Brian Holzinger, Pat LaFontaine
05:04GOAL (TBL): Chris Gratton (16), assists: Jason Wiemer, Brian Bellows
12:47GOAL (TBL): Mikael Andersson (8), assists: Cory Cross, Paul Ysebaert
‹ vs WSH (Apr 3, 1996)@ NYI (Apr 6, 1996) ›