vs BOS (Nov 10, 1999)@ FLA (Nov 13, 1999) ›

November 12, 1999

Ice Palace | Tampa

BUF 24 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1102
TBL1214
Shots on goal BUF 30, TBL 28W D. CloutierL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .857
TBL D. Cloutier .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
TBL 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
P. Kubina goal (P2 18:27), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 21%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
S. Barnes
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
21:21
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:28
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.857 (24/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:27P. Kubina (1) 49% to 21%-28
  2. P2 05:42M. Sillinger (5) 72% to 49%-23
  3. P2 02:29S. Barnes (5) 49% to 71%+22
  4. P1 10:39S. Martins (3) 69% to 49%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
16:58
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
9:14
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
17:11
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:54
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
16:58
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
22:38
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.2
14:06
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:57
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
18:21
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:02
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:26
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
21:21
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
18:42
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:00
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:05
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:43
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
2
-0.1
27:28
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
26:07
Total
2
4
6
10
30
6.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron284.857-0.659:01L

Team Stats

BUFTBL
30Shots on Goal28
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes6
24Hits18
10Blocked Shots5
15Giveaways11
3Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
00:45GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (2), assists: Rhett Warrener, Michal Grosek
10:39GOAL (TBL): Steve Martins (3), assists: Petr Svoboda, Mike Sillinger
2ND
02:29GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (5), assists: Vaclav Varada, Michael Peca
05:42GOAL (TBL): Mike Sillinger (5), assists: Stephane Richer, Darcy Tucker
18:27GOAL (TBL): Pavel Kubina (1), assists: Ben Clymer, Mike Sillinger
3RD
05:46GOAL (TBL): Darcy Tucker (3), assists: Mike Sillinger, Andrei Zyuzin
vs BOS (Nov 10, 1999)@ FLA (Nov 13, 1999) ›