vs NYR (Dec 4, 1999)vs OTT (Dec 8, 1999) ›

December 6, 1999

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 23 TOR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF20002
TOR02013
Shots on goal BUF 30, TOR 22W C. JosephL D. Roloson
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .864
TOR C. Joseph .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 7
TOR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
S. Thomas goal (OT 1:05), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:40
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:52
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.864 (19/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 30 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 1:05
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

OT 1:05
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 01:05S. Thomas (4) 48% to 0%-48
  2. P2 11:51T. Kaberle (5) 69% to 43%-26
  3. P1 00:42M. Satan (12) 40% to 58%+18
  4. P2 03:13G. Valk (2) 83% to 65%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
15:18
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:47
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
21:40
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:37
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
13:54
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
9:02
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.5
12:38
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:07
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
1:59
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
21:15
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:00
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
10:12
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:16
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.2
19:23
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:36
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:38
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
25:52
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:09
Total
2
1
3
10
30
4.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson223.864-0.361:02L

Team Stats

BUFTOR
30Shots on Goal22
7Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes14
24Hits27
5Blocked Shots6
24Giveaways21
5Takeaways0

Full Game Log

1ST
00:42GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (12), assists: Michal Grosek
04:10GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (2), unassisted
2ND
03:13GOAL (TOR): Garry Valk (2), assists: Bryan Berard
11:51GOAL (TOR): Tomas Kaberle (5), assists: Mike Johnson
OT
01:05GOAL (TOR): Steve Thomas (4), unassisted
vs NYR (Dec 4, 1999)vs OTT (Dec 8, 1999) ›