vs OTT (Dec 8, 1999)vs PHI (Dec 14, 1999) ›

December 10, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CHI 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI1001
BUF0022
Shots on goal CHI 21, BUF 29W M. BironL S. Passmore
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .952
CHI S. Passmore .931
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
CHI 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P3 8:04), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 86%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:21
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:40
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.952 (20/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFCHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:04M. Afinogenov (7) 53% to 86%+33
  2. P3 00:34M. Satan (13) 24% to 54%+30
  3. P1 13:11B. Atcheynum (4) 56% to 35%-21
  4. P3 02:22Slashing on Paul Kruse, 5 min 54% to 41%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
15:47
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
18:24
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
19:30
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.6
12:36
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.2
21:21
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:44
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
10:53
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
15
1
-0.2
5:51
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.3
14:05
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:12
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:14
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:19
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
17:58
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.1
16:21
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
16:36
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
23:10
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
25:40
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
20:19
Total
2
3
5
26
29
6.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron211.9521.360:00W

Team Stats

CHIBUF
21Shots on Goal29
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
27Penalty Minutes26
13Hits10
11Blocked Shots9
17Giveaways17
2Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
13:11GOAL (CHI): Blair Atcheynum (4), assists: Brad Brown
3RD
00:34GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (13), assists: Curtis Brown, Michal Grosek
08:04GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (7), assists: Dixon Ward
vs OTT (Dec 8, 1999)vs PHI (Dec 14, 1999) ›