vs CHI (Dec 10, 1999)vs FLA (Dec 17, 1999) ›

December 14, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI0011
BUF1113
Shots on goal PHI 26, BUF 22W M. BironL B. Boucher
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .962
PHI B. Boucher .864
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
PHI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P1 8:54), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 67%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. Holzinger
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Ward
3
SHOTS
M. Peca
19:33
TOI (F)
J. McKee
24:01
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 08:54M. Afinogenov (8) 47% to 67%+20
  2. P2 19:21M. Grosek (8) 77% to 93%+16
  3. P3 04:50J. Woolley (2) 81% to 95%+14
  4. P3 03:15M. Recchi (14) 93% to 80%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
2
2
+3
0
1
1.3
16:15
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:39
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.6
15:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
14:43
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
19:22
#5 J. Woolley (D)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
15:48
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
20:00
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.8
15:16
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
18:34
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:47
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:20
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
14:55
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:33
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
3:13
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:19
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.4
23:04
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.5
22:13
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
24:01
Total
3
6
9
12
22
7.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron261.9621.860:00W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
26Shots on Goal22
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes12
20Hits22
9Blocked Shots9
22Giveaways31
4Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
08:54GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (8), assists: Brian Holzinger, Stu Barnes
2ND
19:21GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (8), assists: Cory Sarich, Miroslav Satan
3RD
03:15GOAL (PHI): Mark Recchi (14), assists: Simon Gagne, Brian Boucher
04:50GOAL (BUF): Jason Woolley (2), assists: Richard Smehlik, Brian Holzinger
vs CHI (Dec 10, 1999)vs FLA (Dec 17, 1999) ›