@ NJD (Dec 27, 1999)vs TOR (Jan 1, 2000) ›

December 28, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

DET 72 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET1607
BUF0022
Shots on goal DET 27, BUF 34W K. WreggetL D. Roloson
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-7.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .818
Buffalo M. Biron .400
DET K. Wregget .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
DET 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Brown goal (P1 1:13), Sabres win chance drops from 43% to 26%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Ward
5
SHOTS
M. Afinogenov
16:38
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:58
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.818 (18/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:13D. Brown (8) 43% to 26%-17
  2. P2 02:27I. Larionov (7) 23% to 10%-13
  3. P2 03:17N. Lidstrom (8) 9% to 3%-6
  4. P1 13:43Holding obstruction on Sergei Fedorov, 2 min 24% to 28%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.8
13:16
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
10:51
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.1
14:26
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
8:08
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
-2
0
1
0.9
15:56
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
16:00
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
15:53
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
16:35
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
15:22
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
16:15
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
16:01
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
16:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:38
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
16:27
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
23:18
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
19:14
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.4
23:58
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-3
2
2
0.2
21:08
Total
2
4
6
4
34
6.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson224.818-1.253:19L
#43 M. Biron53.400-2.06:41

Team Stats

DETBUF
27Shots on Goal34
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes4
7Hits16
6Blocked Shots6
22Giveaways24
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
01:13GOAL (DET): Doug Brown (8), assists: Yuri Butsayev, Sergei Fedorov
2ND
02:27GOAL (DET): Igor Larionov (7), assists: Tomas Holmstrom, Martin Lapointe
03:17GOAL (DET): Nicklas Lidstrom (8), assists: Tomas Holmstrom, Igor Larionov
03:59GOAL (DET): Aaron Ward (1), assists: Sergei Fedorov, Darryl Laplante
04:22GOAL (DET): Pat Verbeek (7), assists: Brendan Shanahan, Steve Yzerman
09:58GOAL (DET): Tomas Holmstrom (7), assists: Chris Chelios, Igor Larionov
11:03GOAL (DET): Pat Verbeek (8), assists: Steve Yzerman
3RD
11:23GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (17), assists: Geoff Sanderson, Brian Campbell
18:56GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (4), assists: Wayne Primeau, Rob Ray
@ NJD (Dec 27, 1999)vs TOR (Jan 1, 2000) ›