vs TBL (Jan 25, 2000)@ BOS (Jan 29, 2000) ›

January 28, 2000

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 01 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT0000
BUF1001
Shots on goal OTT 21, BUF 27W M. BironL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 1-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
OTT P. Lalime .963
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Patrick goal (P1 2:37), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 68%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Patrick
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
20:54
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:15
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (21/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:37J. Patrick (3) 50% to 68%+18
  2. P1 04:01Fighting on Rhett Warrener, 5 min 68% to 60%-8
  3. P1 04:01Fighting on Andre Roy, 5 min 60% to 68%+8
  4. P3 08:45Holding on Jay McKee, 2 min 85% to 80%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
13:25
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:59
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
15:36
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
11:01
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
15:47
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:17
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:30
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:23
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:40
#29 V. Tsyplakov (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:56
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:20
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
20:54
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:00
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:20
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
5
3
0.3
18:26
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:33
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
26:15
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
20:33
Total
1
2
3
11
27
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron2101.0002.159:51W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
21Shots on Goal27
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
11Penalty Minutes11
14Hits21
5Blocked Shots8
23Giveaways19
2Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
02:37GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (3), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Jason Woolley
vs TBL (Jan 25, 2000)@ BOS (Jan 29, 2000) ›