@ MTL (Oct 12, 2002) ›

October 10, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI1001
BUF3205
Shots on goal NYI 23, BUF 21W M. BironL C. Osgood
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .957
NYI G. Snow 1.000
NYI C. Osgood .750
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
NYI 1 of 9
TURNING POINT
C. Gratton goal (P1 13:13), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 73%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:36
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:43
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 13:13C. Gratton (1) 53% to 73%+20
  2. P1 04:36S. Barnes (1) 35% to 53%+18
  3. P1 01:01D. Scatchard (1) 51% to 35%-16
  4. P1 14:44J. Hecht (1) 73% to 87%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.7
13:06
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
4
1
1.4
15:24
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.5
15:20
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.5
23:36
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
15:31
#71 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
15:52
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
17:46
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.5
24:43
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:27
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
10
2
0.2
8:25
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:54
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
29
1
0.1
5:17
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
22
0
0.2
4:37
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:08
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
21:23
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
4
0.2
16:15
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
20:35
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
4
0
-0.1
16:47
Total
5
7
12
83
21
9.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron231.9571.559:57W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
23Shots on Goal21
9Power Play Chances7
11%PP%29%
71%PK%89%
1PPG2
65Penalty Minutes85
2Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
01:01GOAL (NYI): Dave Scatchard (1), assists: Mattias Timander, Roman Hamrlik
04:36GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (1), assists: J-P Dumont, James Patrick
13:13GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (1), unassisted
14:44GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Tim Connolly
2ND
09:44GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Miroslav Satan
17:01GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (1), assists: Chris Gratton, Miroslav Satan
@ MTL (Oct 12, 2002) ›