vs NYI (Oct 10, 2002)@ CHI (Oct 13, 2002) ›

October 12, 2002

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 61 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0336
MTL0101
Shots on goal BUF 31, MTL 20W M. BironL J. Theodore
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .950
MTL J. Theodore .806
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
MTL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P2 6:16), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 72%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Pyatt
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:49
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:51
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.950 (19/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:16T. Connolly (2) 48% to 72%+24
  2. P2 03:48P. Brisebois (1) 71% to 48%-23
  3. P2 02:11T. Pyatt (1) 48% to 70%+22
  4. P2 14:27T. Pyatt (2) 75% to 91%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
14:05
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
16:57
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
2
0
2
+1
0
2
1.7
17:40
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.7
17:06
#25 V. Varada (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
1
0.7
15:12
#71 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+2
4
4
1.1
16:31
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
20:49
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
15:25
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:19
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.1
20:24
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
9:06
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:27
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:16
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
17:00
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
18:17
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:58
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
20:30
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
23:51
Total
6
8
14
8
31
12.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron201.9501.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
31Shots on Goal20
5Power Play Chances4
40%PP%0%
100%PK%60%
2PPG0
8Penalty Minutes10
2Hits1

Full Game Log

2ND
02:11GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (1), assists: Chris Gratton
03:48GOAL (MTL): Patrice Brisebois (1), assists: Chad Kilger, Jan Bulis
06:16GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (2), assists: J-P Dumont
14:27GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (2), assists: Chris Gratton, Tim Connolly
3RD
00:52GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (1), assists: Rhett Warrener
06:17GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (2), assists: J-P Dumont, Jay McKee
09:38GOAL (BUF): Vaclav Varada (1), assists: James Patrick
vs NYI (Oct 10, 2002)@ CHI (Oct 13, 2002) ›