vs TOR (Nov 15, 2002)@ NJD (Nov 19, 2002) ›

November 16, 2002

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 14 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
OTT0224
Shots on goal BUF 26, OTT 23W P. LalimeL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .826
OTT P. Lalime .962
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
OTT 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. White goal (P2 11:17), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 21%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
19:22
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
21:29
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.826 (19/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 26 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 11:17T. White (4) 46% to 21%-25
  2. P2 02:11M. Fisher (2) 68% to 45%-23
  3. P1 17:06C. Gratton (7) 45% to 66%+21
  4. P3 07:33M. Hossa (8) 14% to 3%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
12:02
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
-1
2
2
0.7
15:08
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
16:01
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:27
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
17:16
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
15
0
-0.1
11:17
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:31
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:31
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:48
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
17:29
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:22
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
16:31
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:59
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
18:35
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.2
21:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
21:29
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
18:51
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
18:30
Total
1
2
3
21
26
3.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron234.826-1.160:00L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
26Shots on Goal23
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
23Penalty Minutes9
6Hits7

Full Game Log

1ST
17:06GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (7), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Ales Kotalik
2ND
02:11GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (2), assists: Chris Phillips, Martin Havlat
11:17GOAL (OTT): Todd White (4), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Magnus Arvedson
3RD
07:33GOAL (OTT): Marian Hossa (8), assists: Zdeno Chara
09:04GOAL (OTT): Todd White (5), assists: Magnus Arvedson, Daniel Alfredsson
vs TOR (Nov 15, 2002)@ NJD (Nov 19, 2002) ›