vs CAR (Jan 3, 2003)@ PHI (Jan 7, 2003) ›

January 4, 2003

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 21 OTT

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF10012
OTT01001
Shots on goal BUF 21, OTT 33W R. MillerL P. Lalime
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .970
OTT P. Lalime .905
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (OT 4:19), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 100%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (2G)
POINTS
S. Barnes
3
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:25
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:49
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:19
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 31%.

OT 4:19
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:19A. Kotalik (8) 49% to 100%+51
  2. P2 12:01S. Van Allen (9) 63% to 37%-26
  3. P1 00:48A. Kotalik (7) 31% to 49%+18
  4. P3 09:53Tripping on Radek Bonk, 2 min 41% to 47%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
2
0
2
+2
0
2
1.7
16:53
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
19:15
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
19:07
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
17:45
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:34
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:36
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
14:41
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
18:10
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
4:20
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:45
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
13:37
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:00
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:25
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
23:54
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
26:49
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
21:56
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
15:23
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
21:15
Total
2
3
5
6
21
4.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller331.9702.564:19W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
21Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes4
6Hits10

Full Game Log

1ST
00:48GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (7), assists: J-P Dumont
2ND
12:01GOAL (OTT): Shaun Van Allen (9), assists: Marian Hossa
OT
04:19GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (8), assists: Stu Barnes, James Patrick
vs CAR (Jan 3, 2003)@ PHI (Jan 7, 2003) ›