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January 7, 2003

First Union Center | Philadelphia

BUF 23 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1102
PHI0213
Shots on goal BUF 23, PHI 24W R. EscheL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .875
PHI R. Esche .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
PHI 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Williams goal (P3 9:12), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 11%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:59
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:09
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.875 (21/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 29 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 39%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 09:12J. Williams (8) 45% to 11%-34
  2. P2 19:33J. Roenick (13) 73% to 43%-30
  3. P1 19:45A. Kotalik (9) 40% to 63%+23
  4. P2 11:04A. Kotalik (10) 70% to 87%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
2
0
2
0
0
3
1.7
17:28
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.4
18:24
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
23:59
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
19:47
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:25
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:56
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
13:39
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
14:14
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:07
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
7:06
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
18:49
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
16:59
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:53
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:27
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:07
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
24:09
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
20:44
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:10
Total
2
3
5
11
23
5.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller243.875-0.159:22L

Team Stats

BUFPHI
23Shots on Goal24
2Power Play Chances2
50%PP%50%
50%PK%50%
1PPG1
11Penalty Minutes11
0Hits3

Full Game Log

1ST
19:45GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (9), assists: Jay McKee
2ND
11:04GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (10), assists: Miroslav Satan, Chris Gratton
12:42GOAL (PHI): Keith Primeau (11), assists: Kim Johnsson, Mark Recchi
19:33GOAL (PHI): Jeremy Roenick (13), assists: Justin Williams, Mark Recchi
3RD
09:12GOAL (PHI): Justin Williams (8), assists: Simon Gagne, Jeremy Roenick
@ OTT (Jan 4, 2003)vs BOS (Jan 10, 2003) ›