@ NJD (Feb 4, 2003)@ NYI (Feb 8, 2003) ›

February 7, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

VAN 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN2204
BUF0202
Shots on goal VAN 30, BUF 36W D. CloutierL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .867
VAN D. Cloutier .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
VAN 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Morrison goal (P1 5:53), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 26%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (2A)
POINTS
C. Brown
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:17
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:45
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.867 (26/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFVAN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFVAN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:53B. Morrison (13) 44% to 26%-18
  2. P1 19:41M. Naslund (36) 24% to 10%-14
  3. P2 01:16A. Chubarov (6) 10% to 3%-7
  4. P2 05:44D. Sedin (9) 9% to 3%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.5
16:17
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
1.0
13:54
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
19:22
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
0
17
1
0.5
13:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.2
14:38
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
19:07
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
1:55
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.5
15:02
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
14:25
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
14:38
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:44
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
20:15
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
20:17
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
21:22
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
10
0
-0.1
6:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
26:03
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
28:45
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.2
19:26
Total
2
3
5
31
36
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron304.867-0.459:04L

Team Stats

VANBUF
30Shots on Goal36
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
15Penalty Minutes31
1Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
05:53GOAL (VAN): Brendan Morrison (13), assists: Markus Naslund, Todd Bertuzzi
19:41GOAL (VAN): Markus Naslund (36), assists: Trevor Linden
2ND
01:16GOAL (VAN): Artem Chubarov (6), assists: Trevor Letowski, Matt Cooke
03:10GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (5), assists: Chris Gratton, Tim Connolly
05:44GOAL (VAN): Daniel Sedin (9), assists: Mattias Ohlund, Trevor Linden
07:03GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (14), assists: Tim Connolly
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