‹ @ FLA (Mar 8, 2003)vs CAR (Mar 12, 2003) ›

March 9, 2003

St. Pete Times Forum | Tampa

BUF 1 – 1 TBL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
TBL0101
Shots on goal BUF 27, TBL 28
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 1-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .964
TBL N. Khabibulin .963
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
TBL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
V. Lecavalier goal (P2 9:51), Sabres win chance drops from 43% to 20%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
8
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:37
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
32:17
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 2:58
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

OT 2:58
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:51V. Lecavalier (26) 43% to 20%-23
  2. P2 11:38A. Kotalik (18) 22% to 44%+22
  3. P3 01:18Hooking on Rhett Warrener, 2 min 45% to 40%-5
  4. P2 13:39Hooking obstruction on Maxim Afinogenov, 2 min 44% to 40%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
17:16
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
20:37
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
32:17
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:28
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
8:35
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:48
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:47
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:01
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:53
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:49
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
19:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
13:00
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
8
0.6
19:48
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:35
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
20:22
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:52
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
29:42
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
28:39
Total
1
2
3
8
27
3.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#35 M. Noronen281–.964–2.065:00T

Team Stats

BUFTBL
27Shots on Goal28
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%25%
75%PK%50%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
17Hits10
8Blocked Shots16
10Giveaways13
10Takeaways14

Full Game Log

2ND
09:51GOAL (TBL): Vincent Lecavalier (26), assists: Brad Richards, Martin St. Louis
11:38GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (18), assists: Miroslav Satan, Alexei Zhitnik
‹ @ FLA (Mar 8, 2003)vs CAR (Mar 12, 2003) ›