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December 26, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI3003
BUF1146
Shots on goal NYI 19, BUF 35W R. MillerL G. Snow
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .842
NYI G. Snow .853
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 8
NYI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P3 15:01), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 92%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
C. Drury
6
SHOTS
T. Connolly
21:01
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:33
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.842 (16/19)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 15:01T. Vanek (10) 56% to 92%+36
  2. P3 09:25B. Campbell (7) 18% to 53%+35
  3. P1 12:03A. Yashin (14) 56% to 36%-20
  4. P1 10:33J. Blake (16) 74% to 56%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
2
3
0
0
6
2.5
19:27
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
17:09
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
0
1.4
21:01
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
+1
4
4
1.5
15:45
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
2.0
19:36
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
16:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.6
17:22
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.5
16:01
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
10:26
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
8:38
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
15:13
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.2
11:56
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
12:47
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:33
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
14:57
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
20:54
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:32
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
15:29
Total
6
10
16
10
35
14.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller193.842-0.659:57W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
19Shots on Goal35
5Power Play Chances8
20%PP%38%
63%PK%80%
1PPG3
16Penalty Minutes10
12Hits8
10Blocked Shots13
8Giveaways13
7Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
05:51GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (17), assists: Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly
10:33GOAL (NYI): Jason Blake (16), assists: Mike York, Chris Campoli
12:03GOAL (NYI): Alexei Yashin (14), assists: Arron Asham
19:53GOAL (NYI): Miroslav Satan (16), assists: Chris Campoli, Alexei Yashin
2ND
02:09GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (8), assists: Thomas Vanek, Chris Drury
3RD
09:25GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (7), assists: Chris Drury, Tim Connolly
15:01GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (10), assists: Ales Kotalik, Derek Roy
15:12GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (13), assists: Jochen Hecht
19:43GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (8), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
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