vs NYI (Dec 26, 2005)vs ATL (Dec 30, 2005) ›

December 29, 2005

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 34 TOR

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF111003
TOR210014
Shots on goal BUF 30, TOR 28W E. BelfourL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 3-4 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .893
TOR E. Belfour .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
TOR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P3 8:07), Sabres win chance rises from 16% to 49%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
4
SHOTS
T. Connolly
20:28
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
25:01
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 31 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:38
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:07J. Pominville (4) 16% to 49%+33
  2. P2 05:55D. Tucker (16) 47% to 26%-21
  3. P2 04:37H. Tallinder (3) 24% to 44%+20
  4. P1 14:00A. Ponikarovsky (10) 49% to 30%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
3
2.2
20:28
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
17:47
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.1
17:16
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
14:35
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
+2
2
2
0.9
22:20
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.7
20:56
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.3
17:37
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
9:28
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:03
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:35
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:09
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.5
13:30
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
18:43
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
14:16
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.4
25:01
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:42
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:04
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
18:05
Total
3
5
8
10
30
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron283.8930.364:53O

Team Stats

BUFTOR
30Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%20%
80%PK%75%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes10
17Hits25
15Blocked Shots23
8Giveaways10
8Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
14:00GOAL (TOR): Alexei Ponikarovsky (10), assists: Matt Stajan
15:47GOAL (TOR): Bryan McCabe (14), assists: Tie Domi, Clarke Wilm
17:14GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (8), assists: Thomas Vanek, Ales Kotalik
2ND
04:37GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (3), assists: Tim Connolly
05:55GOAL (TOR): Darcy Tucker (16), assists: Kyle Wellwood, Tomas Kaberle
3RD
08:07GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (4), assists: Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly
SO
00:00GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin, assists: Martin Biron(SO)
00:00GOAL (TOR): Alexei Ponikarovsky, assists: Martin Biron(SO)
vs NYI (Dec 26, 2005)vs ATL (Dec 30, 2005) ›