vs ATL (Mar 1, 2006)@ BOS (Mar 4, 2006) ›

March 3, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 26 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR1012
BUF2226
Shots on goal TOR 23, BUF 32W R. MillerL M. Tellqvist
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .913
TOR M. Tellqvist .813
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 10
TOR 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (P1 13:59), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 77%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
3 (3G)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
19:27
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
20:05
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.913 (21/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 13:59C. Drury (19) 59% to 77%+18
  2. P1 12:48A. Ponikarovsky (16) 77% to 59%-18
  3. P1 04:59D. Roy (8) 62% to 76%+14
  4. P2 12:15D. Brière (15) 80% to 93%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
3
0
3
+1
0
5
2.9
19:27
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
3
3
+1
0
3
2.2
16:44
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
19:46
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
13:00
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.2
18:39
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
13:12
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
19:26
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.9
14:56
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
17:22
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
16:28
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
17:39
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
14:42
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
9:29
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
11:32
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:12
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:37
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
20:05
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:49
Total
6
10
16
16
32
14.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller232.9130.659:55W

Team Stats

TORBUF
23Shots on Goal32
6Power Play Chances10
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG2
24Penalty Minutes16
20Hits16
16Blocked Shots13
14Giveaways16
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
04:59GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (8), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Teppo Numminen
12:48GOAL (TOR): Alexei Ponikarovsky (16), assists: Mats Sundin, Ken Klee
13:59GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (19), assists: Ales Kotalik
2ND
12:15GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (15), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jay McKee
19:38GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (9), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
06:44GOAL (TOR): Alexander Steen (14), assists: Bryan McCabe, Matt Stajan
17:06GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (19), assists: Brian Campbell, Maxim Afinogenov
19:56GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (10), assists: Brian Campbell, Rory Fitzpatrick
vs ATL (Mar 1, 2006)@ BOS (Mar 4, 2006) ›