vs BOS (Mar 12, 2006)vs TOR (Mar 16, 2006) ›

March 14, 2006

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 64 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1236
WSH3104
Shots on goal BUF 41, WSH 33W R. MillerL B. Johnson
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .879
WSH B. Johnson .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 9
WSH 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P3 18:17), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 97%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
D. Brière
19:28
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:08
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.879 (29/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 63%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:17A. Kotalik (24) 54% to 97%+43
  2. P3 13:07D. Roy (15) 20% to 55%+35
  3. P2 19:55B. Clymer (14) 57% to 29%-28
  4. P2 05:58D. Brière (19) 37% to 60%+23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P1 19:11
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
2
2
4
+2
0
3
3.1
19:28
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.6
13:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.6
13:32
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
0
2
2
1.6
18:38
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
2
1.3
16:53
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
17:50
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
7
1.4
12:48
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
1.0
17:47
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
21:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
17:27
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
19:18
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
13:49
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:40
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
8:51
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
12:36
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.3
20:54
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
17:08
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
14:28
Total
6
11
17
12
41
15.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller334.879-0.159:57W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
41Shots on Goal33
9Power Play Chances6
22%PP%33%
67%PK%78%
2PPG2
12Penalty Minutes18
14Hits18
18Blocked Shots15
17Giveaways14
7Takeaways17

Full Game Log

1ST
05:31GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (11), assists: Teppo Numminen
07:57GOAL (WSH): Ben Clymer (13), assists: Alex Ovechkin, Chris Clark
19:11GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (43), assists: Dainius Zubrus, Ben Clymer
19:19GOAL (WSH): Jeff Halpern (5), assists: Ivan Majesky
2ND
03:52GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (18), assists: Tim Connolly, Dmitri Kalinin
05:58GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (19), assists: Jochen Hecht, J-P Dumont
19:55GOAL (WSH): Ben Clymer (14), assists: Dainius Zubrus, Alex Ovechkin
3RD
13:07GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (15), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Teppo Numminen
18:17GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (24), assists: Jochen Hecht, Daniel Brière
19:59GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (17), assists: Daniel Brière, Toni Lydman
vs BOS (Mar 12, 2006)vs TOR (Mar 16, 2006) ›