vs TOR (Nov 22, 2006)@ NYR (Nov 26, 2006) ›

November 24, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 21 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL00112
BUF01001
Shots on goal MTL 30, BUF 30W C. HuetL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .933
MTL C. Huet .967
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
MTL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
S. Souray goal (OT 4:59), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Spacek
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Brière
24:11
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
32:44
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.933 (28/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:59
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 4:59
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:59S. Souray (9) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P3 08:21S. Koivu (5) 87% to 54%-33
  3. P2 12:27J. Spacek (4) 56% to 80%+24
  4. P2 08:16Hooking on Guillaume Latendresse, 2 min 56% to 61%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.8
15:41
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
25:18
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.2
32:44
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
16:43
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
16:15
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
12:07
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
8:33
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
21:17
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
17:49
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
13:27
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:51
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:17
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.6
24:11
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.7
18:53
#3 M. Funk (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:37
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
25:04
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:12
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
22:02
Total
1
2
3
4
30
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller302.9331.364:54O

Team Stats

MTLBUF
30Shots on Goal30
2Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes4
25Hits12
24Blocked Shots19
11Giveaways12
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

2ND
12:27GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (4), assists: Brian Campbell, Ales Kotalik
3RD
08:21GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (5), assists: Michael Ryder, Craig Rivet
OT
04:59GOAL (MTL): Sheldon Souray (9), assists: Alex Kovalev, Saku Koivu
vs TOR (Nov 22, 2006)@ NYR (Nov 26, 2006) ›