vs MTL (Nov 24, 2006)vs NYR (Dec 1, 2006) ›

November 26, 2006

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 32 NYR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF02013
NYR01102
Shots on goal BUF 31, NYR 27W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .926
NYR H. Lundqvist .903
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 10
NYR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (OT 1:36), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 100%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Brière
23:18
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
28:52
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 1:36
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 1:36
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 01:36C. Drury (14) 51% to 100%+49
  2. P3 15:07M. Straka (13) 92% to 51%-41
  3. P2 11:59M. Afinogenov (12) 54% to 76%+22
  4. P2 14:11T. Vanek (16) 77% to 92%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
18:26
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.4
18:27
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
4
5
0.9
20:04
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.3
20:04
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
1
0.7
23:09
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:59
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
15:44
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:52
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
6:26
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
18:30
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.4
19:34
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
9:19
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.6
23:18
#3 M. Funk (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:35
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
23:53
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
13:04
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
20:23
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.3
28:52
Total
3
3
6
10
31
7.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller272.9261.060:55W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
31Shots on Goal27
10Power Play Chances5
10%PP%0%
100%PK%90%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes20
15Hits25
22Blocked Shots15
6Giveaways6
10Takeaways17

Full Game Log

2ND
11:59GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (12), assists: Thomas Vanek, Ales Kotalik
14:11GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (16), unassisted
14:31GOAL (NYR): Martin Straka (12), assists: Jaromir Jagr, Marek Malik
3RD
15:07GOAL (NYR): Martin Straka (13), assists: Michael Nylander, Marek Malik
OT
01:36GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (14), assists: Teppo Numminen
vs MTL (Nov 24, 2006)vs NYR (Dec 1, 2006) ›