@ NYR (Nov 26, 2006)@ WSH (Dec 2, 2006) ›

December 1, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 34 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NYR012003
BUF111014
Shots on goal NYR 39, BUF 19W R. MillerL K. Weekes
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .923
NYR K. Weekes .842
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
NYR 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (P3 10:02), Sabres win chance rises from 17% to 55%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. Campbell
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Spacek
3
SHOTS
M. Afinogenov
22:18
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
24:12
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.923 (36/39)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:17
+20+100-10-20shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:02C. Drury (15) 17% to 55%+38
  2. P3 08:06M. Nylander (10) 51% to 20%-31
  3. P3 07:20M. Straka (15) 85% to 55%-30
  4. P1 17:09J. Hecht (6) 59% to 78%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.6
22:18
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.5
24:12
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
19:39
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.4
17:41
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
21:24
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
14:00
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:51
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
11:03
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
6:34
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
13:21
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:42
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
22:14
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
3:25
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:59
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
3
0.4
22:49
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
20:22
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:38
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
23:30
Total
3
4
7
10
19
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller393.9231.464:54W

Team Stats

NYRBUF
39Shots on Goal19
5Power Play Chances2
40%PP%0%
100%PK%60%
2PPG0
4Penalty Minutes10
15Hits22
12Blocked Shots20
14Giveaways21
3Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
17:09GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (6), unassisted
2ND
01:50GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (4), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Thomas Vanek
15:30GOAL (NYR): Michal Rozsival (3), assists: Martin Straka, Michael Nylander
3RD
07:20GOAL (NYR): Martin Straka (15), assists: Jaromir Jagr, Brendan Shanahan
08:06GOAL (NYR): Michael Nylander (10), assists: Martin Straka, Jaromir Jagr
10:02GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (15), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Brian Campbell
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière, assists: Kevin Weekes(SO)
@ NYR (Nov 26, 2006)@ WSH (Dec 2, 2006) ›